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Entries Tagged as 'Cognitive Bias'

Avoid Self Serving Bias in Investing (Day 7)

June 26th, 2008 · 1 Comment

Woo-Hoo!  Finally, the last day of cognitive biases in investing! Let’s dive right in… 
Self serving bias is pretty similar to the fundamental attribution error.  The Fundamental attribution error says that other peoples successes and failures are a direct result of their actions while our own are attributed to situational factors. The self serving bias is [...]

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Tags: Cognitive Bias · Investing · Personal Finance

Avoid Framing in Investing (Day 6)

June 24th, 2008 · 1 Comment

I was eating lunch at Tropical Smoothie Cafe yesterday when my friend turned to me and said “Dude, that [amazingly cute] girl over there is totally checking you out”.  I quickly dismissed his comment but he kept persisting, “No seriously, she keeps looking over at you”.  I probably just had some mustard on my face [...]

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Tags: Cognitive Bias · Investing · Personal Finance

Avoid Anchoring in Investing (Day 5)

June 21st, 2008 · 1 Comment

Today’s cognitive bias is anchoring and its not only something I try to avoid in investing, it’s also something that I exploit in negotiations.  And you can too!  
When you’re negotiating and you know the inherent value of something, you can easily barter a fair price.  But when you’re unsure of an item’s value and the other [...]

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Tags: Cognitive Bias · Investing · Personal Finance

Avoid Fundamental Attribution Error in Investing (Day 4)

June 20th, 2008 · 2 Comments

“Whenever someone else performs poorly or makes a mistake, it’s a direct result of their actions.  Whenever I make a mistake, it’s because of a circumstance I had no control over!”
This is the underlying position of the fundamental attribution error.  We have a tendency to over emphasize the result of other people’s actions as personality-based.  [...]

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Tags: Cognitive Bias · Investing · Personal Finance

Avoid Hindsight Bias in Investing (Day 3)

June 19th, 2008 · 2 Comments

How many of you knew that the Boston Celtics would win the NBA Finals?  Or that Tiger would win the U.S. Open?  Well how sure were you last week?
Or… you’re sitting at a Blackjack table in Las Vegas with a 7 and 5, the dreaded 12.  Do you stay or hit?
Stay: Dealer flips over and has [...]

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Tags: Cognitive Bias · Personal Finance

Avoid Confirmation Bias in Investing (Day 2)

June 18th, 2008 · 1 Comment

Yesterday, I wrote about what a cognitive bias is and listed six of them that can affect our psyche and the way we invest.  Today, I’ll go into detail on the first one: confirmation bias.  Confirmation bias describes our tendency to interpret information in a certain way to confirm what we already believe.  It also describes [...]

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Tags: Cognitive Bias · Personal Finance

7 Days of Cognitive Bias in Investing (Day 1)

June 17th, 2008 · 2 Comments

For anyone that’s ever taken a Psychology or Behavioral Science class, you probably learned about something called “cognitive bias” (if you remember learning it… now that’s a different story).  Cognitive biases include a wide array of observed effects in social psychology that explain many of our inherently human biases.  Rather than looking at another technical side of investing, I [...]

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Tags: Cognitive Bias · Personal Finance

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